Kwanan nan, Cao Dewang ya karɓi hirar shirin "Jun product Talk", lokacin da yake magana game da dalilin raguwar umarnin cinikayyar ƙasashen waje, ya yi imanin cewa ba gwamnatin Amurka ce ta janye umarnin ku ba, amma kasuwa ce ta janye umarnin, shine halin kasuwa.
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A Amurka, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki yana da matuƙar tsanani kuma ƙarancin ma'aikata yana da tsanani. Idan aka haɗa waɗannan abubuwa biyu, Amurka tana fatan samun kasuwanni masu rahusa wajen siyayya, kamar Vietnam da sauran ƙasashen kudu maso gabashin Asiya don yin oda. A zahiri, haɗin gwiwar ciniki tsakanin China da Amurka a zahiri hali ne na kasuwa. Da yake magana game da tsammaninsa game da nan gaba, Mr. Cao ya ce zai zama "hunturu mai tsawo".
Tallace-tallacen dillalan Amurka sun ragu fiye da yadda aka zata a watan Maris
Tallace-tallacen dillalan kayayyaki a Amurka sun ragu a karo na biyu a jere a watan Maris. Wannan yana nuna cewa kashe kuɗi a cikin gida yana raguwa yayin da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ke ci gaba da ƙaruwa kuma farashin rance yana ƙaruwa.
Tallace-tallacen dillalai sun faɗi da kashi 1 cikin ɗari a watan Maris idan aka kwatanta da watan da ya gabata, idan aka kwatanta da hasashen kasuwa na raguwar kashi 0.4 cikin ɗari, kamar yadda bayanai daga Ma'aikatar Kasuwanci suka nuna a ranar Talata. A halin yanzu, an sake duba alkaluman watan Fabrairu zuwa -0.2% daga -0.4%. A shekara-shekara, tallace-tallacen dillalai sun tashi da kashi 2.9 cikin ɗari kacal a cikin watan, mafi jinkirin gudu tun watan Yunin 2020.
Faduwar farashin kayayyaki a watan Maris ta zo ne sakamakon raguwar tallace-tallacen motoci da sassa, kayan lantarki, kayan gida da manyan kantuna. Duk da haka, bayanai sun nuna cewa tallace-tallacen shagunan abinci da abin sha sun ragu kaɗan.
Alkaluman sun ƙara nuna alamun cewa saurin kashe kuɗi a cikin gidaje da kuma tattalin arziki mai faɗi yana raguwa yayin da yanayin kuɗi ke ƙara tsananta kuma hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ke ci gaba da ƙaruwa.
Masu siyayya sun rage sayayya kan kayayyaki kamar motoci, kayan daki da kayan aiki a yayin da ake samun karuwar riba.
Wasu Amurkawa suna ƙara himma don biyan buƙatunsu. Wasu bayanai daban-daban daga Bankin Amurka a makon da ya gabata sun nuna cewa amfani da katin bashi da na zare kuɗi ya faɗi zuwa mafi ƙanƙanta a cikin shekaru biyu a watan da ya gabata yayin da hauhawar albashi, ƙarancin kuɗin haraji da kuma ƙarshen fa'idodi a lokacin annobar ya haifar da kashe kuɗi.
Jigilar kayayyaki daga Asiya zuwa Amurka a watan Maris
Cinkoson kwantena ya ragu da kashi 31.5% duk shekara
Amfani da kayayyaki a Amurka yana da rauni kuma har yanzu ana ci gaba da matsin lamba ga harkokin kaya.
A cewar wani rahoto da gidan yanar gizon Nikkei na kasar Sin ya bayar a ranar 17 ga Afrilu, bayanan da DescartesDatamyne, wani kamfanin bincike na Amurka, ya fitar, sun nuna cewa a watan Maris na wannan shekarar, yawan jigilar kwantena daga Asiya zuwa Amurka ya kai 1,217,509 (wanda aka kirga ta hanyar kwantena mai tsawon ƙafa 20), wanda ya ragu da kashi 31.5% a shekara. Raguwar ta karu daga kashi 29 cikin 100 a watan Fabrairu.
An rage jigilar kayan daki, kayan wasa, kayan wasanni da takalma gida biyu, kuma kayayyaki sun ci gaba da tsayawa cak.
Wani jami'in wani babban kamfanin jigilar kwantena ya ce, "Muna jin cewa gasa tana ƙara ƙarfi saboda raguwar yawan kaya. Dangane da nau'in kayayyaki, kayan daki, mafi girman rukuni ta hanyar girma, ya faɗi da kashi 47 cikin ɗari a shekara, yana jan ƙasa da matakin gabaɗaya.
Baya ga ƙara ta'azzara ra'ayin masu saye saboda hauhawar farashin kayayyaki na dogon lokaci, rashin tabbas a kasuwar gidaje ya kuma rage buƙatar kayan daki.
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Bugu da ƙari, ba a yi amfani da kayan da dillalan kayayyaki suka tara ba. Kayan wasan yara, kayan wasanni da takalma sun ragu da kashi 49 cikin ɗari, kuma tufafi sun ragu da kashi 40 cikin ɗari. Bugu da ƙari, kayan kayan aiki da sassa, gami da robobi (ƙasa da kashi 30 cikin ɗari), suma sun faɗi fiye da watan da ya gabata.
Rahoton Descartes ya ce jigilar kayayyaki na kayan daki, kayan wasa, kayan wasanni da takalma sun ragu da kusan rabi a watan Maris. Duk kasashen Asiya 10 sun tura kwantena zuwa Amurka ƙasa da shekara guda da ta gabata, inda China, wacce ita ce babbar kasuwa, ta faɗi da kashi 40 cikin ɗari idan aka kwatanta da shekara guda da ta gabata. Kasashen kudu maso gabashin Asiya suma sun ragu sosai, inda Vietnam ta faɗi da kashi 31 cikin ɗari, Thailand kuma ta faɗi da kashi 32 cikin ɗari.
Rage kashi 32% idan aka kwatanta da shekarar da ta gabata
Babban tashar jiragen ruwa ta ƙasar ba ta da ƙarfi
Tashar jiragen ruwa ta Los Angeles, wacce ita ce babbar hanyar shiga da tafi cunkoso a gabar tekun yamma, ta fuskanci rauni a kwata na farko. Jami'an tashar jiragen ruwa sun ce tattaunawar da ake yi da ma'aikata da kuma hauhawar farashin riba sun shafi zirga-zirgar jiragen ruwa.
A cewar sabbin bayanai, tashar jiragen ruwa ta Los Angeles ta sarrafa sama da TEUs 620,000 a watan Maris, wanda ƙasa da 320,000 aka shigo da su, kusan kashi 35% ƙasa da yadda aka taɓa samun mafi yawan aiki a cikin wannan watan a shekarar 2022; Yawan akwatunan fitarwa ya ɗan fi 98,000, ƙasa da kashi 12% a shekara; Adadin kwantena marasa komai ya kasance ƙasa da TEUs 205,000, ƙasa da kusan kashi 42% daga Maris 2022.
A cikin kwata na farko na wannan shekarar, tashar jiragen ruwa tana da kimanin TEUs miliyan 1.84, amma hakan ya ragu da kashi 32 cikin 100 idan aka kwatanta da wannan lokacin na 2022, in ji Gene Seroka, Shugaba na Tashar Jiragen Ruwa ta Los Angeles, a wani taro da aka yi a ranar 12 ga Afrilu. Wannan raguwar ta faru ne galibi saboda tattaunawar ma'aikatan tashar jiragen ruwa da kuma yawan riba.
"Na farko, tattaunawar kwangilar ma'aikata ta Yammacin Tekun yana jan hankali sosai," in ji shi. Na biyu, a duk faɗin kasuwa, hauhawar riba da hauhawar farashin rayuwa suna ci gaba da shafar kashe kuɗi na ɗan lokaci. Yanzu hauhawar farashin ya faɗi a cikin wata na tara a jere, duk da ƙarancin farashin masu amfani da aka yi tsammani a watan Maris. Duk da haka, dillalan har yanzu suna ɗaukar nauyin farashin adana kayayyaki masu yawa, don haka ba sa shigo da ƙarin kayayyaki."
Duk da cewa aikin tashar jiragen ruwa a kwata na farko bai yi kyau ba, yana sa ran tashar jiragen ruwa za ta sami lokacin jigilar kaya mafi girma a cikin watanni masu zuwa, tare da ƙaruwar kaya a kwata na uku.
"Yanayin tattalin arziki ya ragu sosai a kasuwar duniya a kwata na farko, duk da haka mun fara ganin wasu alamun ci gaba, ciki har da wata tara a jere na faduwar hauhawar farashin kaya. Duk da cewa yawan jigilar kaya a watan Maris ya yi ƙasa da na wannan lokacin a bara, bayanai na farko da karuwar wata-wata suna nuna ci gaba mai matsakaici a kwata na uku."
Adadin kwantena da aka shigo da su tashar jiragen ruwa ta Los Angeles ya karu da kashi 28% a watan Maris idan aka kwatanta da watan da ya gabata, kuma Gene Seroka yana sa ran yawan kwantena zai karu zuwa 700,000 TEUs a watan Afrilu.
Babban Manajan Evergreen Marine:
Cire harsashi don jure harin iska mai sanyi, kwata na uku don haɗuwa da lokacin kololuwa
Kafin haka, babban manajan Evergreen Marine Xie Huiquan shi ma ya ce ana iya tsammanin kakar wasa mafi zafi ta kwata na uku.
Kwanaki kaɗan da suka gabata, Evergreen Shipping ta gudanar da wani baje koli, babban manajan kamfanin Xie Huiquan ya yi hasashen yanayin kasuwar jigilar kaya a shekarar 2023 da wata waƙa.
"Yaƙin da ke tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine ya ɗauki fiye da shekara guda, kuma tattalin arzikin duniya ya koma baya. Ba mu da wani zaɓi illa mu jira yaƙin ya ƙare mu kuma jure wa iskar sanyi." Ya yi imanin cewa rabin farko na 2023 zai zama kasuwar ruwa mai rauni, amma kwata na biyu zai fi kwata na farko kyau, kasuwa za ta jira har zuwa kwata na uku na lokacin kololuwar.
Xie Huiquan ya ƙara bayyana cewa a rabin farko na shekarar 2023, kasuwar jigilar kaya gaba ɗaya tana da rauni kaɗan. Tare da farfaɗowar yawan kaya, ana sa ran cewa kwata na biyu zai fi kwata na farko kyau. A rabin na biyu na shekara, fitar da kaya zai ragu, tare da isowar kakar sufuri ta gargajiya a kwata na uku, kasuwancin jigilar kaya gaba ɗaya zai ci gaba da farfadowa.
Xie Huiquan ya ce, farashin jigilar kaya a kwata na farko na shekarar 2023 ya yi ƙasa sosai, kuma a hankali zai farfaɗo a kwata na biyu, ya tashi a kwata na uku kuma ya daidaita a kwata na huɗu. Farashin jigilar kaya ba zai canza kamar da ba, kuma har yanzu akwai damarmaki ga kamfanonin da ke fafatawa don samun riba.
Yana taka tsantsan amma ba ya nuna rashin tabbas game da shekarar 2023, yana hasashen cewa ƙarshen yakin Rasha da Ukraine zai ƙara hanzarta farfaɗowar masana'antar jigilar kaya.
Lokacin Saƙo: Afrilu-21-2023