Ministocin harkokin wajen Tarayyar Turai sun yi taro a Brussels a ranar 19 ga wata domin fara wani aikin rakiyar jiragen ruwa na Tekun Ja a hukumance.
Kamfanin dillancin labarai na CCTV ya ruwaito cewa shirin zai dauki tsawon shekara guda kuma ana iya sabunta shi. A cewar rahoton, zai dauki makonni da dama daga kaddamar da shi a hukumance zuwa aiwatar da wasu ayyukan rakiya. Belgium, Italiya, Jamus, Faransa da sauran kasashe na shirin aika jiragen ruwan yaki zuwa yankin Red Sea.
Har yanzu ana ci gaba da fama da matsalar Tekun Ja. A cewar sabbin kididdiga daga Clarkson Research, karfin jiragen ruwa da ke shiga yankin Tekun Aden dangane da tan na jimilla daga 5 zuwa 11 ga Fabrairu ya ragu da kashi 71% idan aka kwatanta da rabin farko na Disamba na bara, kuma raguwar ta yi daidai da makon da ya gabata.
Kididdiga ta nuna cewa zirga-zirgar jiragen ruwan kwantena ta kasance mai iyaka sosai a cikin makon (ƙasa da kashi 89 cikin 100 daga matakin a rabin farko na Disamba). Duk da cewa ƙimar jigilar kaya ta ragu a cikin 'yan makonnin nan, har yanzu sun ninka sau biyu zuwa uku fiye da yadda suke kafin rikicin Tekun Bahar Maliya. Hayar jiragen ruwan kwantena ya ci gaba da ƙaruwa kaɗan a cikin wannan lokacin kuma yanzu ya kai kashi 26 cikin 100 sama da matakinsu a rabin farko na Disamba, a cewar Clarkson Research.
Michael Saunders, babban mai ba da shawara kan tattalin arziki a Oxford Economics, ya ce tun daga tsakiyar watan Nuwamba na 2023, yawan jigilar kaya a teku a duniya ya karu da kusan kashi 200%, tare da karuwar jigilar kaya daga Asiya zuwa Turai da kusan kashi 300%. "Akwai wasu alamun farko na wannan tasirin a binciken kasuwanci a Turai, tare da wasu katsewa ga jadawalin samarwa, tsawon lokacin isarwa da kuma hauhawar farashin shigarwa ga masana'antun. Muna tsammanin wadannan kudaden, idan aka ci gaba da hakan, za su kara yawan wasu matakan hauhawar farashin a cikin shekara mai zuwa ko makamancin haka." "In ji shi.
Babban tasirin zai kasance kan ciniki kamar kayayyakin mai da aka tace
A ranar 8 ga Fabrairu, jirgin ruwan sojojin ruwan Jamus Hessen ya bar tashar jiragen ruwansa ta Wilhelmshaven zuwa Tekun Bahar Rum. Hoto: Agence France-Presse
Kamfanin dillancin labarai na CCTV ya ruwaito cewa jirgin ruwan Jamus mai suna Hessen ya tashi zuwa Tekun Bahar Rum a ranar 8 ga Fabrairu. Belgium na shirin aika jirgin ruwa mai saukar ungulu zuwa Bahar Rum a ranar 27 ga Maris. A cewar shirin, jiragen ruwan EU za su iya bude wuta don kare jiragen ruwa na kasuwanci ko kare kansu, amma ba za su kai hari kan wuraren da 'yan Houthi ke zaune a Yemen ba.
A matsayin "tashar gaba" ta mashigar ruwa ta Suez, Tekun Bahar Maliya hanya ce mai matuƙar muhimmanci ta jigilar kaya. A cewar Clarkson Research, kusan kashi 10% na cinikin teku suna ratsawa ta Mashigar Bahar Maliya kowace shekara, wanda kwantena da ke ratsawa ta Mashigar Bahar Maliya ke samar da kusan kashi 20% na cinikin kwantena na teku a duniya.
Ba za a warware matsalar Tekun Bahar Maliya cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci ba, wanda hakan zai shafi cinikayyar duniya. Dangane da rugujewar da aka samu, a cewar Clarkson Research, zirga-zirgar jiragen ruwa ta ragu da kashi 51% idan aka kwatanta da rabin farko na Disamba na bara, yayin da zirga-zirgar jiragen ruwa masu yawa ta ragu da kashi 51% a wannan lokacin.
Kididdiga ta nuna cewa yanayin kasuwar tankunan ruwa na baya-bayan nan yana da sarkakiya, daga cikinsu, farashin jigilar kaya daga Gabas ta Tsakiya zuwa Turai har yanzu ya fi girma fiye da farkon Disamba na bara. Misali, yawan jigilar kaya na kamfanonin jigilar kayayyaki na LR2 ya fi dala miliyan 7, wanda ya ragu daga dala miliyan 9 a karshen watan Janairu, amma har yanzu ya fi matakin dala miliyan 3.5 a rabin farko na watan Disamba.
A lokaci guda kuma, babu wani kamfanin jigilar iskar gas mai amfani da iskar gas (LNG) da ya ratsa yankin tun daga tsakiyar watan Janairu, kuma yawan masu jigilar iskar gas mai amfani da iskar gas (LPG) ya ragu da kashi 90%. Duk da cewa rikicin Tekun Bahar Maliya yana da tasiri mai mahimmanci ga jigilar jigilar iskar gas mai amfani da iskar gas, yana da iyakataccen tasiri ga kasuwar jigilar iskar gas mai amfani da iskar gas da hayar jiragen ruwa, yayin da wasu abubuwa (gami da abubuwan yanayi, da sauransu) ke da tasiri mai mahimmanci ga kasuwa a wannan lokacin, kuma jigilar kaya da hayar jiragen ruwa masu amfani da iskar gas sun ragu sosai.
Bayanan bincike na Clarkson sun nuna cewa karfin jiragen ruwa da ke ratsa Cape of Good Hope a makon da ya gabata ya fi kashi 60% sama da rabin farko na Disamba 2023 (a rabin na biyu na Janairu 2024, karfin jiragen ruwa da ke ratsa Cape of Good Hope ya fi kashi 62% sama da rabin farko na Disamba na bara), kuma jimillar jiragen ruwa kimanin 580 ne ke yawo a kusa da su.
Farashin jigilar kaya ga kayan masarufi ya karu sosai
Kididdigar bincike ta Clarkson ta nuna cewa farashin jigilar kaya ga kayayyakin masarufi ya karu sosai, amma har yanzu ba su yi yawa kamar yadda aka yi a lokacin annobar ba.
Dalilin haka shi ne, ga yawancin kayayyaki, farashin jigilar kaya a teku ya kai ƙaramin kaso na farashin kayan masarufi. Misali, farashin jigilar takalma daga Asiya zuwa Turai ya kai kimanin dala $0.19 a watan Nuwamba na bara, ya karu zuwa dala $0.76 a tsakiyar Janairu 2024, kuma ya faɗi zuwa dala $0.66 a tsakiyar Fabrairu. Idan aka kwatanta, a lokacin da annobar ta fara a farkon 2022, farashin zai iya kaiwa sama da dala $1.90.
A cewar wani kimantawa da Oxford Economics ta bayar, matsakaicin darajar kwantenar sayar da kaya ya kai kimanin dala $300,000, kuma farashin jigilar kwantenar daga Asiya zuwa Turai ya karu da kimanin dala $4,000 tun farkon Disamba 2023, wanda ke nuna cewa matsakaicin farashin kayayyaki a cikin kwantenar zai karu da kashi 1.3% idan aka mika cikakken farashin.
Misali, a Burtaniya, kashi 24 cikin 100 na kayayyakin da ake shigowa da su daga Asiya ne, kuma kayayyakin da ake shigowa da su daga waje sun kai kusan kashi 30 cikin 100 na ma'aunin farashin masu amfani, ma'ana karuwar hauhawar farashin zai kasance kasa da kashi 0.2 cikin 100.
Mista Saunders ya ce mummunan tasirin da ke tattare da sarkakiyar samar da kayayyaki sakamakon hauhawar farashi mai yawa a abinci, makamashi da kayayyakin da ake ciniki a duniya suna raguwa. Duk da haka, rikicin Tekun Bahar Maliya da kuma karuwar farashin jigilar kayayyaki da ke tattare da hakan na haifar da wani sabon tashin hankali na samar da kayayyaki wanda, idan aka ci gaba da hakan, zai iya kara matsin lamba ga hauhawar farashin kayayyaki daga baya a wannan shekarar.
A cikin shekaru uku da suka gabata, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ta karu sosai a kasashe da dama saboda dalilai da dama, kuma canjin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya karu sosai. "Kwanan nan, wadannan munanan girgizar tattalin arziki sun fara raguwa kuma hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ta ragu da sauri. Amma matsalar Tekun Bahar Maliya tana da yuwuwar haifar da sabon girgizar tattalin arziki." "In ji shi.
Ya yi hasashen cewa idan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ta fi canzawa kuma tsammanin ya fi mayar da hankali kan ainihin motsin farashi, bankunan tsakiya za su fi buƙatar ƙarfafa manufofin kuɗi don mayar da martani ga karuwar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, koda kuwa girgizar ƙasa ce ta haifar da hakan, don sake daidaita tsammanin.
Majiyoyi: First Financial, Sina Finance, Zhejiang Trade Promotion, Network
Lokacin Saƙo: Fabrairu-22-2024