Rikicin Bahar Maliya ya ci gaba!Har yanzu ana buƙatar faɗakarwa, kuma ba za a iya watsi da wannan lamarin ba

Abubuwan da aka bayar na Industrial Co., Ltd.(nan gaba ake kira "Me hannun jari") (Disamba 24) sun ba da sanarwar cewa kamfanin da Luoyang Guohong Investment Holding Group Co., LTD.
Yayin da zagayowar babban bankin duniya ke kara kusantowa, hauhawar farashin kaya a manyan kasashe na tattalin arziki sannu a hankali yana komawa baya zuwa jeri da aka yi niyya.
To sai dai kuma, tsagaitawar da aka yi a kan hanyar Bahar Maliya a baya-bayan nan ta sake haifar da fargabar cewa abubuwan da ke faruwa a fannin siyasa sun kasance wani muhimmin ci gaban hauhawar farashin kayayyaki tun shekarar da ta gabata, kuma hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da kuma cikas na samar da kayayyaki na iya sake zama wani sabon salo na hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.A cikin 2024, duniya za ta shigo da muhimmiyar shekara ta zaɓe, shin yanayin farashin da ake sa ran zai fito fili, zai sake yin rauni?

 

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Farashin jigilar kaya yana maida martani sosai ga toshewar Tekun Bahar Maliya
Hare-haren da 'yan Houthi na Yaman ke kaiwa kan jiragen ruwa da ke wucewa ta mashigin tekun Red Sea da Suez ya karu tun farkon wannan wata.Hanyar, wacce ta kai kusan kashi 12 cikin 100 na kasuwancin duniya, yawanci tana aika kayayyaki daga Asiya zuwa tashoshin jiragen ruwa na Turai da gabashin Amurka.
Ana tilasta wa kamfanonin jigilar kayayyaki su karkata.Jimillar manyan jiragen ruwa da suka isa tekun Bahar Rum ya ragu da kashi 82 cikin 100 a makon da ya gabata idan aka kwatanta da rabin farkon wannan wata, a cewar alkaluman Sabis na Bincike na Clarkson.A baya dai, ganga miliyan 8.8 na mai da kusan tan miliyan 380 na kaya ne ke bi ta hanyar kowace rana, wanda ke dauke da kusan kashi uku na safarar kwantena a duniya.
Tafiya zuwa Cape of Good Hope, wanda zai kara nisan mil 3,000 zuwa 3,500 kuma zai kara kwanaki 10 zuwa 14, ya sanya farashin wasu hanyoyin Eurasian zuwa mafi girma a cikin kusan shekaru uku a makon da ya gabata.Kamfanin jigilar kayayyaki na Maersk ya ba da sanarwar ƙarin $700 don daidaitaccen kwantena mai ƙafa 20 akan layinta na Turai, wanda ya haɗa da ƙarin cajin tashar tashar $200 (TDS) da ƙarin cajin lokacin kololuwar $ 500 (PSS).Wasu kamfanonin jigilar kayayyaki da yawa sun bi sahun su.
Haɓaka farashin kaya na iya yin tasiri akan hauhawar farashin kaya."Farashin jigilar kayayyaki zai kasance sama da yadda ake tsammani ga masu jigilar kaya da masu amfani da shi, kuma har yaushe hakan zai fassara zuwa farashi mafi girma?"In ji Rico Luman, babban masanin tattalin arziki a ING, a cikin bayanin kula.
Masana da dama sun yi hasashen cewa, da zarar an shafe fiye da wata guda a kan hanyar Bahar Bahar Rum, tsarin samar da kayayyaki za su ji hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, sannan daga karshe su dauki nauyin masu amfani da kayayyaki, in aka kwatanta da na Turai, za a iya kaiwa hari fiye da Amurka. .Yaren mutanen Sweden kayan daki da dillalan gida IKEA sun yi gargadin cewa yanayin Canal na Suez zai haifar da jinkiri da iyakance samun wasu samfuran IKEA.
Kasuwar har yanzu tana kallon sabbin abubuwan da ke faruwa a yanayin tsaro da ke kewayen hanyar.Tun da farko dai, Amurka ta sanar da kafa wani kawancen rakiya domin kare lafiyar jiragen ruwa.Daga baya Maersk ya fitar da wata sanarwa yana mai cewa a shirye take ta dawo da jigilar kayayyaki a tekun Bahar Maliya."A halin yanzu muna kan shirin fara jigilar jiragen ruwa ta wannan hanya da zarar ya yiwu."A yin haka, yana da muhimmanci mu tabbatar da tsaron lafiyar ma’aikatanmu.”
Labarin ya kuma haifar da raguwar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a Turai a ranar Litinin.Har zuwa lokacin da aka buga wannan rahoto, shafin yanar gizon hukuma na Maersk bai sanar da wata sanarwa ta hukuma ba game da sake dawo da hanyoyin.
Shekarar zaɓe mai girma tana kawo rashin tabbas
Bayan rikicin hanyar Tekun Bahar Maliya, kuma shi ne ma'auni na wani sabon zagaye na haɓakar haɗarin geopolitical.
Har ila yau rahotanni sun ce 'yan Houthi sun kai hari kan jiragen ruwa a yankin a baya.Amma hare-haren sun karu tun lokacin da aka fara rikicin.Kungiyar ta yi barazanar kai hari kan duk wani jirgin ruwa da ta yi imanin ya nufi ko kuma ya fito daga Isra'ila.
An dai ci gaba da zaman dar-dar a tekun Bahar Rum a karshen mako bayan da aka kafa kawancen.Wani jirgin ruwan dakon sinadari mai dauke da tutar Norway ya ba da rahoton cewa wani harin da aka kai maras matuki ya yi nisa da shi, yayin da wata tankar mai dauke da tutar Indiya ta afkawa, ko da yake babu wanda ya jikkata.Babban kwamandan Amurka ya ce.Wannan lamari dai shi ne hari na 14 da na 15 kan jigilar kayayyaki na kasuwanci tun ranar 17 ga watan Oktoba, yayin da jiragen yakin Amurka suka harbo jirage marasa matuka guda hudu.
A lokaci guda, Iran da Amurka, Isra'ila a yankin game da batun "lalata" kuma bari duniya ta damu game da ainihin halin da ake ciki a Gabas ta Tsakiya zai kara haɗari.
A zahiri, 2024 mai zuwa za ta kasance tabbataccen “shekarar zaɓe”, tare da zaɓe da yawa a duniya, gami da Iran, Indiya, Rasha da sauran abubuwan da suka fi mayar da hankali, kuma zaɓen Amurka ya damu sosai.Haɗin rikice-rikice na yanki da haɓakar kishin ƙasa na dama ya kuma sanya haɗarin geopolitical mafi rashin tabbas.
A matsayin wani muhimmin al'amari mai tasiri na wannan zagaye na zagayowar karin kudin ruwa na babban bankin duniya, hauhawar farashin makamashi da hauhawar farashin danyen mai da iskar gas a duniya ke haifarwa bayan da yanayin da ake ciki a Ukraine ba za a yi watsi da shi ba, kuma ba za a yi watsi da bala'in kasadar geopolitical ga wadatar kayayyaki. sarkar kuma ta haifar da tsadar masana'antu na dogon lokaci.Yanzu gizagizai na iya dawowa.Bankin Danske ya bayyana a cikin wani rahoto da ya aike wa mai ba da rahoto kan kudi na farko cewa, a shekarar 2024 na watan Mayu ne za a yi fama da rikici tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine, don haka ya zama wajibi a lura da ko Amurka da Majalisar Tarayyar Turai goyon bayan soji ga Ukraine zai canza, kuma Zaben Amurka na iya haifar da rashin zaman lafiya a yankin Asiya da Fasifik.
'Kwarewar 'yan shekarun da suka gabata ya nuna cewa farashin zai iya tasiri sosai ta hanyar rashin tabbas da rashin sani,' Jim O'Neil, tsohon babban masanin tattalin arziki a Goldman Sachs kuma shugaban Kamfanin Gudanar da Kayayyakin Kayayyakin Goldman, ya ce kwanan nan game da hasashen hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a shekara mai zuwa.
Hakazalika, shugaban hukumar ta UBS, Sergio Ermotti, ya ce bai yi imani cewa bankunan tsakiya na da karfin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ba.Ya rubuta a tsakiyar wannan watan cewa "kada a yi ƙoƙarin yin hasashen 'yan watanni masu zuwa - kusan ba zai yiwu ba."Da alama yanayin yana da kyau, amma dole ne mu ga ko hakan zai ci gaba.Idan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duk manyan tattalin arzikin kasar ya matsa kusa da kashi 2 cikin dari, manufofin bankin tsakiya na iya samun sauki kadan.A cikin wannan yanayin, yana da mahimmanci a kasance masu sassaucin ra'ayi."

 

Source: Intanet


Lokacin aikawa: Dec-28-2023