A makon farko na Sabuwar Shekara (2-5 ga Janairu), kasuwar auduga ta duniya ta kasa cimma kyakkyawan farawa, ma'aunin dala ta Amurka ya farfado sosai kuma ya ci gaba da gudana a babban mataki bayan sake farfadowa, kasuwar hannayen jari ta Amurka ta fadi daga mafi girman da ta gabata, tasirin kasuwar waje akan kasuwar auduga ya yi kasa sosai, kuma bukatar auduga ta ci gaba da danne tasirin farashin auduga. ICE futures ta yi watsi da wasu daga cikin ribar kafin hutu a ranar ciniki ta farko bayan hutun, sannan ta ragu, kuma babban kwangilar Maris a ƙarshe ta rufe sama da cents 80, ƙasa da cents 0.81 na makon.
A Sabuwar Shekara, muhimman matsalolin da suka faru a bara, kamar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da hauhawar farashin samar da kayayyaki, da kuma ci gaba da rage buƙatu, har yanzu suna ci gaba. Duk da cewa da alama yana ƙara kusantowa ga Babban Bankin Tarayya don fara rage ƙimar riba, bai kamata tsammanin kasuwa game da manufofi ya wuce gona da iri ba, a makon da ya gabata Ma'aikatar Kwadago ta Amurka ta fitar da bayanan ayyukan yi na Amurka ba na gona ba a watan Disamba, kuma hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya sa yanayin kasuwar kuɗi ya canza akai-akai. Ko da yanayin tattalin arziki na ƙasa ya inganta a hankali a wannan shekarar, zai ɗauki lokaci mai tsawo kafin buƙatar auduga ta farfaɗo. A cewar sabon binciken da ƙungiyar Yadi ta Duniya ta gudanar, tun daga rabin na biyu na shekarar da ta gabata, duk hanyoyin haɗin sarkar masana'antar yadi ta duniya sun shiga cikin ƙarancin oda, kayan samfuran da dillalai har yanzu suna da yawa, ana sa ran zai ɗauki watanni da yawa kafin a cimma sabon daidaito, kuma damuwar game da ƙarancin buƙata ta ƙara ta'azzara fiye da da.
A makon da ya gabata, mujallar American Cotton Farmer ta buga sabon binciken, sakamakon ya nuna cewa a shekarar 2024, ana sa ran yankin da ake noma auduga a Amurka zai ragu da kashi 0.5% duk shekara, kuma farashin gaba da ya yi kasa da centi 80 ba shi da kyau ga manoman auduga. Duk da haka, da wuya a sake samun mummunan fari a cikin shekaru biyu da suka gabata a yankin da ake noma auduga a Amurka a wannan shekarar, kuma a karkashin sharadin cewa yawan watsi da amfanin gona da kuma yawan amfanin gona a kowane yanki ya koma daidai, ana sa ran samar da auduga a Amurka zai karu sosai. Ganin cewa audugar Brazil da audugar Ostiraliya sun kwace kasuwar audugar Amurka a cikin shekaru biyu da suka gabata, bukatar shigo da audugar Amurka ta ragu na dogon lokaci, kuma fitar da audugar Amurka ta kasance da wahala wajen farfado da abin da ya gabata, wannan yanayin zai danne farashin auduga na dogon lokaci.
Gabaɗaya, yanayin tafiyar da farashin auduga a wannan shekarar ba zai canza sosai ba, yanayi mai tsanani na bara, farashin auduga ya tashi sama da centi 10 kawai, kuma daga ƙarancin shekarar gaba ɗaya, idan yanayin wannan shekarar ya kasance na al'ada, babban yuwuwar ƙasashe shine saurin ƙaruwar samarwa, farashin auduga ya tabbata, yuwuwar aiki mai ƙarfi ya fi girma, ana sa ran babba da ƙarami za su yi kama da na bara. Haɓakar farashin auduga na yanayi zai yi ɗan gajeren lokaci idan buƙata ta ci gaba da gazawa.
Tushe: China Cotton Network
Lokacin Saƙo: Janairu-11-2024