Rikicin Tekun Ja ya ci gaba! Har yanzu ana buƙatar sa ido, kuma ba za a iya yin watsi da wannan lamarin ba

Kamfanin What Industrial Co., LTD. (wanda daga baya ake kira "Menene hannun jari") (24 ga Disamba) ya fitar da sanarwa cewa kamfanin da Luoyang Guohong Investment Holding Group Co., LTD.
Yayin da tsarin tsaurara matakan babban bankin duniya ke gab da ƙarewa, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a manyan ƙasashe yana raguwa a hankali zuwa ga adadin da aka tsara.
Duk da haka, katsewar da aka samu kwanan nan a hanyar Tekun Bahar Maliya ya sake tayar da fargabar cewa abubuwan da suka shafi yanayin ƙasa sun kasance muhimmin abin da ke haifar da hauhawar farashi tun bara, kuma hauhawar farashin jigilar kaya da matsalolin sarkar samar da kayayyaki na iya sake zama sabon zagaye na hauhawar farashin kayayyaki. A shekarar 2024, duniya za ta kawo wani muhimmin shekarar zaɓe, shin yanayin farashin, wanda ake sa ran zai bayyana, zai sake canzawa?

 

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Yawan jigilar kaya ya mayar da martani sosai ga toshewar Tekun Bahar Maliya
Hare-haren da 'yan Houthi na Yemen ke kai wa jiragen ruwa da ke ratsawa ta hanyar Red Sea-Suez Canal sun ƙaru tun daga farkon wannan watan. Hanyar, wacce ke da kusan kashi 12 cikin 100 na cinikin duniya, yawanci tana aika kayayyaki daga Asiya zuwa tashoshin jiragen ruwa na Turai da gabashin Amurka.
Ana tilasta wa kamfanonin jigilar kaya su karkatar da akalarsu. Jimillar tan na jiragen ruwan kwantena da suka isa Tekun Aden ya ragu da kashi 82 cikin 100 a makon da ya gabata idan aka kwatanta da rabin farko na wannan watan, a cewar kididdiga daga Clarkson Research Services. A da, ganga miliyan 8.8 na mai da kusan tan miliyan 380 na kaya suna wucewa ta hanyar kowace rana, wanda ke ɗaukar kusan kashi ɗaya bisa uku na zirga-zirgar kwantena a duniya.
Canja wurin zuwa Cape of Good Hope, wanda zai ƙara mil 3,000 zuwa 3,500 tare da ƙara kwanaki 10 zuwa 14, ya tura farashi a wasu hanyoyin Eurasia zuwa mafi girman matsayi a cikin kusan shekaru uku a makon da ya gabata. Kamfanin jigilar kaya na Maersk ya sanar da ƙarin dala $700 don kwantena mai tsawon ƙafa 20 a layinsa na Turai, wanda ya haɗa da ƙarin dala $200 (TDS) da ƙarin dala $500 a lokacin kololuwa (PSS). Sauran kamfanonin jigilar kaya da yawa sun bi sahunsu tun daga lokacin.
Karin farashin kaya zai iya yin tasiri ga hauhawar farashi. "Yawan jigilar kaya zai fi yadda ake tsammani ga masu jigilar kaya da kuma masu amfani da kayayyaki, kuma har yaushe hakan zai haifar da hauhawar farashi?" in ji Rico Luman, babban masanin tattalin arziki a ING, a cikin wata sanarwa.
Masana harkokin sufuri da dama sun yi tsammanin cewa da zarar hanyar Tekun Bahar Maliya ta shafe fiye da wata guda tana fuskantar matsalar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, sannan daga baya ta ɗauki nauyin masu sayayya, a takaice dai, Turai za ta fuskanci matsala fiye da Amurka. Kamfanin sayar da kayan daki da kayan gida na Sweden IKEA ya yi gargaɗin cewa yanayin Suez Canal zai haifar da jinkiri kuma ya takaita samuwar wasu kayayyakin IKEA.
Kasuwar har yanzu tana kallon sabbin abubuwan da ke faruwa a yanayin tsaro a kusa da hanyar. Tun da farko, Amurka ta sanar da kafa wata hadakar rakiya ta hadin gwiwa don kare lafiyar jiragen ruwa. Daga baya Maersk ta fitar da wata sanarwa tana cewa a shirye take ta ci gaba da jigilar jiragen ruwa a Tekun Bahar Maliya. "A halin yanzu muna aiki kan wani shiri na fara jigilar jiragen ruwa ta wannan hanyar da zarar an samu dama." Yin hakan, yana da matukar muhimmanci a tabbatar da tsaron ma'aikatanmu."
Labarin ya kuma haifar da raguwar darajar jigilar kaya ta Turai a ranar Litinin. Har zuwa lokacin da ake buga wannan labarin, shafin yanar gizon Maersk bai sanar da wata sanarwa a hukumance game da sake fara zirga-zirgar jiragen sama ba.
Shekarar zaɓe mai ƙarfi ta kawo rashin tabbas
Bayan rikicin hanyar Tekun Bahar Maliya, hakan kuma misali ne na wani sabon zagaye na karuwar haɗarin siyasa a fannin siyasa.
An ruwaito cewa 'yan Houthi sun kai hari kan jiragen ruwa a yankin a baya. Amma hare-haren sun karu tun lokacin da rikicin ya fara. Kungiyar ta yi barazanar kai hari kan duk wani jirgin ruwa da ta yi imanin yana kan hanyarsa ko kuma yana zuwa daga Isra'ila.
An ci gaba da samun tashin hankali a Tekun Maliya a karshen mako bayan kafa kawancen. Wani jirgin ruwa mai sinadarai mai tutar Norway ya ba da rahoton cewa jirgin sama mara matuki ya yi hatsari, yayin da wani jirgin ruwa mai tutar Indiya ya buge, duk da cewa babu wanda ya ji rauni. Rundunar sojin Amurka ta ce. Lamarin shi ne hari na 14 da na 15 da aka kai kan jiragen ruwa na kasuwanci tun daga ranar 17 ga Oktoba, yayin da jiragen ruwan Amurka suka harbo jiragen sama marasa matuki guda hudu.
A lokaci guda kuma, Iran da Amurka, da Isra'ila a yankin kan batun "maganganu" suma sun bar duniyar waje ta damu game da yanayin da ake ciki a Gabas ta Tsakiya zai ƙara zama haɗari.
A gaskiya ma, shekarar 2024 mai zuwa za ta kasance "shekarar zaɓe", tare da zaɓuka da dama a faɗin duniya, ciki har da Iran, Indiya, Rasha da sauran wurare, kuma zaɓen Amurka ya fi damuwa. Haɗakar rikice-rikicen yanki da kuma ƙaruwar ƙabilanci tsakanin 'yan ra'ayin mazan jiya shi ma ya sa haɗarin siyasa ya zama abin da ba a iya faɗi ba.
A matsayin wani muhimmin abin da ke tasiri ga wannan zagayen hauhawar farashin riba na babban bankin duniya, hauhawar farashin makamashi wanda hauhawar farashin danyen mai da iskar gas ta haifar bayan karuwar lamarin a Ukraine ba za a iya yin watsi da shi ba, kuma karuwar barazanar siyasa ga tsarin samar da kayayyaki ta kuma haifar da hauhawar farashin masana'antu na dogon lokaci. Yanzu gajimare na iya dawowa. Bankin Danske ya ce a cikin wani rahoto da aka aika wa wakilin kudi na farko cewa 2024 ga Mayu ta zama wani yanki mai cike da rikici a rikicin Rasha da Ukraine, kuma ya zama dole a kula da ko goyon bayan soja na Amurka da Majalisar Tarayyar Turai ga Ukraine zai canza, kuma zaben Amurka na iya haifar da rashin kwanciyar hankali a yankin Asiya da Pacific.
"Kwarewar da aka samu a shekarun baya-bayan nan ta nuna cewa rashin tabbas da rashin sani na iya yin tasiri sosai ga farashi," Jim O'Neil, tsohon babban masanin tattalin arziki a Goldman Sachs kuma shugaban Goldman Asset Management, ya ce kwanan nan game da hasashen hauhawar farashin a shekara mai zuwa.
Hakazalika, shugaban kamfanin UBS, Sergio Ermotti, ya ce bai yarda bankunan tsakiya suna da iko kan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ba. Ya rubuta a tsakiyar wannan watan cewa "bai kamata mutum ya yi ƙoƙarin yin hasashen watanni masu zuwa ba - kusan ba zai yiwu ba." Da alama yanayin yana da kyau, amma dole ne mu ga ko wannan zai ci gaba. Idan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duk manyan ƙasashe ya kusanci burin kashi 2 cikin 100, manufofin babban bankin na iya raguwa kaɗan. A cikin wannan yanayi, yana da mahimmanci a kasance masu sassauci."

 

Tushe: Intanet


Lokacin Saƙo: Disamba-28-2023